Time Travel,
Coincidences and Counterfactuals
Theodore
Sider
1. Failures in autoinfanticide
Imagine you had a time machine. Nothing would stop you, it would seem, from
using the time machine to go back in time and kill yourself as an infant,
before you ever entered the time machine.
Then a contradiction would be true: you would never have entered any
time machine (since you were killed before doing so[1]), and yet you
would have entered a time machine (in order to travel back in time to kill
yourself). Some conclude that time
travel is impossible, since it would lead to a contradiction.
There is nothing particularly
special about autoinfanticide. The same
sort of problem arises whenever a time traveler resolves to go back in time and
do something that did not in fact occur.
A time traveler who remembers owning a 1974 Plymouth Gold Duster could,
it would seem, go back into the past and prevent herself from ever owning such
a fine automobile; a time traveler could, it would seem, go back and prevent
Lincoln from giving the Gettysburg address, and so on. But autoinfanticide is a particularly vivid
example.
As it stands, this argument is very
weak. All it shows is that
autoinfanticide is impossible (as are related scenarios, such as one in which
an address is given, but in which someone travels back in time and prevents
that address from being given.) But the
impossibility of a certain kind of time-travel scenario does not impugn the
possibility of time travel in general, any more than the existence of an
impossible story about an empty box containing a figurine impugns the
possibility of boxes.
We have admitted the possibility of
time travel, though not the possibility of autoinfanticide. But these possible time travelers who do not
kill their earlier selves: some have the desire as well as the means. What stops them?
No one thing. Some have a sudden change of heart. Some fear awful forces that would be
unleashed by a violation of the laws of logic.
Some attempt the deed but fail for various reasons: non-lethal wounds, slipping on banana peels,
and the like. Others succeed in
committing a murder, only to find they killed the wrong person. And, I suppose, there are possible worlds in
which time travelers are shackled by gods or by other means that prevent them
from doing mischief, though surely this is not required for time travel to
occur.
But focus now on cases in which time
travelers are not shackled in ways we do not take ourselves to be
shackled. These time travelers would
then have the ability to do the sorts
of things we could do, in their circumstances.
If I had a gun, had the evil desire to kill, and were suitably
positioned in front of an unprotected victim, I would have the ability to kill
that victim. So the time traveler, too,
could kill her victim. But the time
traveler’s victim is her earlier self, and surely the time traveler cannot kill
her earlier self, since if she were to do that, contradictions would be
true. Thus, this argument concludes,
unless time travelers are strangely shackled by gods or whatnot, time travel is
impossible. A time traveler both would
have and would lack the ability to kill her earlier self.
Paul Horwich (1975) and David Lewis
(1976) have defended time travel against this argument by objecting to the
claim that the time traveler would not be able to kill her earlier self. Forget time travel for a moment and focus on
ordinary cases of action. My having the ability to do A in a world, w, does not require that my doing A is consistent with every other fact about w. If I in fact will not do
A, it is a fact about w that I will not do A (let us set aside philosophies of time
according to which the future is “open”), but no one other than a fatalist
thinks this undermines my ability to do A. For Lewis, one has the ability to do A in w
if one’s doing A is consistent with
the relevant facts about w (where what facts count as relevant
varies according to the context of the speaker[2]); the fact
that the time traveler’s victim is in fact the time traveler herself is
(typically) not a contextually relevant fact.
We have arrived at the following
(familiar) position in the dialectical tree: despite the impossibility of
autoinfanticide, time travel is possible.
Moreover, though time travelers do
not kill their earlier selves, they typically have the ability to do
so. The goal of this paper is to
present and then answer a challenge to this position. In an interesting thought experiment due to Horwich (1987,
chapter 7; 1995), time travelers repeatedly
go back in time with the goal of killing their former selves. Imagine a futuristic Institute for
Autoinfanticide sending out legions of assassins. (Perhaps these assassins have been emboldened by the failures of
repeated attempts on their lives in their childhoods and fear nothing, not even
the rumored cataclysmic destruction of the world that would result from a
violation of the laws of logic.) Since
autoinfanticide is impossible, each assassin will fail. Presumably, some would have a change of
heart, others would slip and fall on banana peels, yet others would kill the
wrong target, and so on. But surely
there is something odd about the idea that such “coincidences” would be
guaranteed to happen, again and again!
There are, in fact, a few different
arguments in the vicinity. But none, I
think, succeeds in undermining the possibility or likelihood of time
travel. The goal of this paper is to
present and then rebut these arguments.
2. Why bother?
But before expending too much energy
on the topic, it is worth thinking a bit about its point. Beyond the (perfectly legitimate) desire to
set the record straight, is there any reason to care about time travel?
There is indeed. The most straightforward reason to care is
that today’s physics community shows a substantial interest in time
travel. Whether the actual laws of
nature permit time travel is a live debate in contemporary physics journals
(see Earman 1995). And whatever else
metaphysicians must do, surely they must be prepared to at least try to make
metaphysical sense out of what the physicists take seriously.
Secondly, time travel is tied up
with larger issues in metaphysics and philosophy of science concerning the
direction of time, causation, and so on.
If time travel is indeed impossible, this limits the space of acceptable
theories in these areas.
Finally, time travel is connected
with important issues in the philosophy of persistence. I have argued elsewhere (forthcoming,
chapter 4) that the possibility of time travel undermines
“three-dimensionalism”, the view that objects persist over time by being
“wholly present” or “enduring”, rather than by “perduring”, i.e., persisting by
means of temporal parts.
3. The improbability of coincidences
Having resolved to care about time
travel, let us consider various arguments that might be based on Horwich’s
thought experiment. There is first the
argument that Horwich himself advances (1987, chapter 7). Repeated attempts at autoinfanticide would
lead to repeated “coincidental” failures — repeated slips on banana peels,
failures of nerve, etc. But we have
empirical reason to think that such repeated coincidences do not occur. We do notice the odd slip on a banana peel
en route to a murder, but such slips are rare indeed. Surely we have strong inductive evidence against the existence of
a rash of coincidences of this sort. So
we have reason to think that time travel into the recent past does not occur.
At best, the argument establishes
that we have defeasible reason to believe that time travel into the
recent past does not actually occur.
The argument concerns only the actual world because the evidence against
coincidences is contingent; clearly strings of coincidences might have occurred. The argument provides only defeasible
evidence because the evidence is inductive: the future existence of strings of
coincidences is logically compatible with our present evidence. The argument
does not even establish that we have reason to think that time travel is
prohibited by the actual laws of nature; at any rate, a rash of coincidences
would apparently not violate the laws of physics. Thus, the argument has little impact on the philosophical
interest in time travel. For even if
time travel is unlikely to occur in
the actual world, if time travel is nevertheless possible — even, perhaps,
physically possible — we have no right to ignore it while theorizing about the
nature of persistence, time, causation, and so on. (This is no criticism of Horwich, who is not trying to undermine
the possibility of time travel. Indeed,
Horwich himself defends the possibility of time travel.[3])
Moreover, the argument does not show
that time travel per se is unlikely,
for time travel might well occur without the formation of an Institute for
Autoinfanticide. Large numbers of
attempts at autoinfanticide and the like would result in large numbers of
“coincidences”; but for all the argument shows, there might well be thousands
of time travelers among us today, avoiding the banana peels and annoying pricks
of conscience simply because they have no interest in “changing the past”. Alternatively, perhaps the advent of time
travel is so far in the future that time travelers consider us ancient history
not worth bothering with.
Moreover, the kinds of coincidences
envisioned here seem to require persons
traveling back in time with the intention
of doing things inconsistent with what actually happened in the past (or at
least persons directing large quantities of objects to travel back in
time). Quantities of unthinking
time-traveling particles from the future going about their random business
would not be particularly likely to exhibit “coincidental” patterns noticeable
to us. The more cynical might accept
the conditional “if time travel will one day be possible then there now exist
numerous time-traveling assassins hunting down their ancestors”. But an analogous conditional for electrons
is implausible. Thus, Horwich’s
argument at best concerns the likelihood of future persons traveling back in
time.
Horwich acknowledges some of these
limitations of his argument, but there is another limitation he does not
acknowledge. I doubt our present
evidence makes it unlikely that in the future we will encounter time travelers
with attendant strings of “coincidences”, since the present absence of
coincidences does not seem to be projectible.[4] Suppose for the sake of argument that the
actual laws of nature permit time travel.
Then the lack of coincidences we have experienced so far would seem not
to issue from any law of nature, but rather simply from the fact that no legion
of assassins has descended upon the present time (either because time travel
will never be discovered, or because no future Institute for Autoinfanticide
has directed its attention upon our time.)
Our current observation of an absence of coincidences does not warrant
our postulating a law prohibiting them; it only requires our postulating a particular matter of fact, namely the
absence of a legion of assassins descending upon the present time. But there is no reason to expect such a
particular matter of fact to continue to obtain (absent independent evidence
against the existence of time machines).
For all we have learned from the
probabilistic argument, time travel might yet occur in our world. But let us leave the actual world to the
physicists (for it is surely their province anyway), and return to the question
of whether there are conceptual or metaphysical challenges to the very possibility of time travel. As noted, the probabilistic argument
provides no such challenge. But further
interesting challenges to time travel may be based on Horwich’s thought
experiment.
4. Counterfactuals of coincidence
Imagine that time travel is indeed
possible, and that The Corporate Board is contemplating the formation of an
Institute for Autoinfanticide. In fact
they decide against its formation. But
what would have happened had the Institute been formed? It would seem that there would have been an
incredible series of coincidences. Had
the institute been formed, there would have been a long string of slips on
banana peels, serendipitous changes of heart, and so on. We
are all familiar with might-conditionals
of this sort: if I had gotten up from the couch today, I might have tripped on
a banana peel. But few of us think that
in normal cases, would-conditionals
of this sort are ever true. Unless
one’s couch is surrounded by banana peels, garden rakes and hanging cymbals,
counterfactuals of this sort seem false:
If
I had gotten up from the couch, I would
have encountered some “coincidental” disaster
All
that is true is:
If I had gotten up from the
couch, I might have encountered some
“coincidental” disaster
One does has the feeling that
“something funny is going on” after hearing time travel defended in the face of
Horwich’s thought experiment. The
following argument against the possibility of time travel makes precise one
worry in the vicinity. If time travel
were possible, then counterfactuals like the following would be true:
If many, many time travelers
went back in time intending to kill their earlier selves, equipped with deadly
weapons, hardened hearts and excellent information about their targets, there
would be a long string of coincidences: slips on banana peels, sudden attacks
of remorse, mistaken identities and so on.
But
these “would-counterfactuals of coincidence” are never true. At best, “might-counterfactuals of
coincidence” are true. Coincidences are
not things that would happen; they
are things that might happen. Therefore, time travel is impossible.
5. Counterfactuals of coincidence and freedom
Rather than basing an argument
against time travel on the claim that would-counterfactuals of coincidence are
never true, one might instead use those counterfactuals to undermine the
alleged ability or freedom of the
time traveler to kill her infant self.[5] Kadri Vihvelin (1996) in effect does just
this. She argues that if S has the
ability to do A, then it must be the case that if S were to try to do A, S
would or at least might succeed. If it
is the case that S would fail — repeatedly! — if S were to try to do A, then S
does not in fact have the ability to do A.
Given Vihvelin’s principle, would-counterfactuals of coincidence would
undermine the freedom of time travelers to kill their former selves, for if
those time travelers attempted autoinfanticide, they would fail.
One might press the argument
further, as an argument against the possibility of time travel, at least in
cases where the time traveler has no strange shackles that restrict her
activity. For surely, one might argue,
absent any such strange shackles, a time-traveler with the means and
inclination could kill her former
self; what would be stopping her? Thus,
such a time traveler both could and could not kill her former self. The only escape from this contradiction, so
the argument runs, is to reject the possibility of time travel, or to argue
that time travel essentially requires strange shackles on the time
traveler. Vihvelin herself does not
draw this conclusion, but it is hard to see why. Once the inability of the time traveler to kill her former self
is admitted, one faces the question: what is preventing her from doing so?
6. Coincidences and freedom
A final argument would be that the
repeated slips on banana peels are too predictable and regular to be coincidences. It must be that the slips are caused in some
way by the fact that the would-be assassins are time travelers. But if that’s so, then again we have a
challenge to the freedom of the time-travelers. Of course, this is no threat to the possibility of time travel
itself, for one can always spin a time-travel yarn with a convenient guardian
of logic, who is ready to cause slips on banana peels when inconsistency
threatens. But the argument
nevertheless threatens those of us who think that time travel is possible
without such shackles on time travelers.
It moreover threatens the possibility of time travel in worlds like our
own, in which any time travelers would presumably be unshackled.
7. A closer look at counterfactuals of coincidence
In fact, each of these arguments may
be rebutted. I begin with the argument
of section 4, that would-counterfactuals of coincidence are never true. Let us leave time travel for the moment and
consider a more mundane case. Suppose I
were to attempt to throw a heavy stone at a fragile window. Since I have good aim and a strong arm, the
window would break. It is possible, I suppose, that I might slip
on a banana peel, or that the rock might hit a bird passing by, or that a great
gust of wind might divert the stone, or that my many years of training in
stone-throwing might suddenly fail me.
But at the very least, it surely is not the case that one of these
strange coincidences would
happen. The would-counterfactual of
coincidence:
If I were to try to throw
the stone at the window, I would slip on a banana peel or the rock would hit a
passing bird or . . .
is
false.
But now let us consider a different
counterfactual:
(C) If I were to try to throw the stone at
the window but the window did not subsequently break, then I would slip on a
banana peel or the rock would hit a passing bird or . . .
Here
I have built my failure into the antecedent; the counterfactual concerns what
would have happened had I tried and failed.
Here, I think, our sense is that the counterfactual is now true. Given the background facts, the only way for
me to fail to hit the window would be for some strange coincidence to
occur. Though most ordinary would-counterfactuals
of coincidence are false, some are true, namely those whose antecedents
describe circumstances that could only come about by an “unlikely
coincidence”. We can think of the
antecedents of these conditionals as describing states of affairs that embed a
certain “tension”, states of affairs that are “difficult” to make true. To include such a state of affairs, a
possible world must include some strange coincidence. (Or something even stranger, for example in the case considered
above, a lurking guardian of the window ready to spring out and intercept the
rock. Since no such guardian is present
in the actual world, surely such a guardian would not exist had I thrown the
rock.)
The important point here is that we
should all agree that there are true would-counterfactuals of coincidence like
(C) whose antecedents “embed tension” in this way. But in fact, the counterfactuals in the time travel case share
the same feature. We ask what would
have happened if a time traveler had tried to kill her earlier
self. If the time traveler is in
fact a capable assassin and has the appropriate resolve and information, then
making this antecedent true is very “difficult” — it is hard to find a
non-coincidental reason why the time traveler would fail. And yet there is no possible world in which
the time traveler successfully kills her earlier self. Thus, the would-counterfactual of
coincidence:
If a certain time traveler
had tried to kill her earlier self, she would have slipped on a banana peel or
had a sudden change of heart or . . .
looks
a lot like (C). But we admitted that
(C) is true. We should say the same
thing about this counterfactual.
Coincidences would have
happened, in the right circumstances.
The same can be said for
counterfactuals concerning repeated attempts at auto-infanticide:
If many, many time travelers
went back in time intending to kill their earlier selves, equipped with deadly
weapons, hardened hearts and excellent information about their targets, there
would be a long string of coincidences: slips on banana peels, sudden attacks
of remorse, mistaken identities and so on.
These
counterfactuals are true as well; their truth is no more remarkable than that
of (C). Here the coincidences described
in the consequent are even more “unlikely” than those in the case of an
individual assassin. But this is what
one should expect, since the antecedent here describes a state of affairs that
is more difficult to make true than the antecedent in the single-assassin
case. This same phenomenon may be
observed in uncontroversial cases. If
one “loads” the antecedent of (C) thus:
If I were to try to throw
the stone at the window and the window did not break as a result, and there
existed no banana peels in the entire world, and there existed no birds, and I
were the deadliest rock-thrower in the world, then . . .
then
to get a true counterfactual, the consequent will need to become even wilder:
. . . then a random
quantum-event would have caused the rock to explode or I would have been struck
by lightening or . . .
The antecedents of these
counterfactuals concerning time travel in a sense “have their difficulty
built-in”. The first begins “If a
certain time traveler had tried to kill her earlier self”; one can tell just
from looking at this sentence that a world in which it is true will contain an
odd, “coincidental” event. But we might
instead consider counterfactuals like this:
(T) If Tina had tried to kill the little girl
standing in front of her at t, she
would have slipped on a banana peel or had a sudden change of heart or . . .
where
Tina is the time traveler in question, and where the little girl standing in
front of her at t is in fact her
earlier self. Such counterfactuals are
not quite so parallel to those concerning throwing the stone at the window,
since the latter also “have their difficulty built-in”. Nevertheless, the truth of (T) may still be
explained in the same way. Let us
assume the Lewis-Stalnaker theory of counterfactual conditionals, according to
which, roughly, “If P had been the case then Q would have been the case” is
true at w iff the possible world most
similar to w in which P is true is a
world in which Q is true.[6] Here the relevant similarity relation is one
determined in part by the conversational context of the speaker, and may weight
contextually salient factors more heavily than others. In the context in which (T) seems true, we
are holding constant the fact that Tina is a time traveler, and the fact that
the little girl standing in front of her at t
is in fact Tina herself. So in this
context, the counterfactual is a lot like (C), in containing an antecedent that
is very “difficult” to make true in worlds similar to the actual world, given
that in all those worlds Tina is a time traveler and attempting to kill her
earlier self. (T)’s truth is therefore
no more surprising than (C)’s.
8. Selective attention
The truth of certain
would-counterfactuals of coincidence in cases of time travel has been
defended. But what of their connection
with freedom? How can the members of
the Institute for Autoinfanticide be said to be free of unusual constraints
during time travel, when if they were to attempt to kill their former selves
they would repeatedly fail?
Let us again examine an analogous
case having nothing to do with time travel.[7] Suppose we define a permanent bachelor as a
person who never gets married. When we
survey the class of permanent bachelors across the space of all possible
worlds, we find them failing to get married for a variety of reasons. Some never have the inclination, others wish
to be married but never find a suitable partner, others slip on banana peels
and fatally injure themselves while walking down the aisle, and so on. No anti-nuptial force need be postulated to
account for this: by our definition of ‘permanent bachelor’ we selectively attend to a certain class
of possible individuals when we ask for the class of permanent bachelors. Many of these permanent bachelors could have gotten married. No force stands in their way; had they
gotten married, they would no longer have counted as permanent bachelors.
The example may be brought a step
closer to relevance by considering certain counterfactuals.
For all x, if it had been the case that (x is a permanent bachelor who attempts to get married), it would
have been the case that: (x would
have slipped on a banana peel and died, or had a bad case of cold feet, or . .
.)
or
even:
For any series of persons, x1, x2, . . ., if it had been the case that (x1, x2, . . . are all permanent bachelors that attempt to
get married), then it would have been the case that (each would have slipped on
a banana peel and died, or gotten a bad case of cold feet, or . . .)
Properly
filled in, these (universally quantified) would-counterfactuals of coincidence
may well be true, since their antecedents are so difficult to make true that
the only way they could be true is for some rather odd coincidence, or series
of coincidences, to occur.
But now let us ask whether these
would-counterfactuals of coincidence undermine the freedom of the permanent
bachelors. Clearly, they do not. Their truth simply issues from selective
attention on our part. Given our
definition of ‘permanent bachelor’, we do not count as a permanent bachelor
anyone who succeeds in marrying; we therefore ignore all possible individuals
that marry. The class of individuals
that remain under our scrutiny then contains a disproportionate number of
individuals to whom “coincidental” things occur. But these individuals need not be subject to extraordinary
constraints. The “coincidences” that
prevent their marriages might be just that — coincidences. And we do not count coincidences of this
sort as undermining a person’s freedom.
If a person accidentally slips and falls on his way to the pulpit, we do
not regard him as incapable of marriage.
Of course, after repeated mishaps,
onlookers might begin to doubt that the mishaps are merely coincidental. The
person himself might well come to suspect that the obstacles he repeatedly
encounters have some common cause, a cause that undermines his freedom to
marry. (This hypothesis might suggest
itself after, say, the fifteenth lightning bolt eliminates yet another nervous
bride.) Such suspicions might even be
reasonable. But they would be
wrong. Logical space does, after all,
contain persons to whom repeated coincidences occur. By defining ‘permanent bachelor’ as we did, we single out these
unfortunates for attention. Of course,
some permanent bachelors are in the
grips of social, psychological, or supernatural pressures rendering them
incapable of marriage. Others lack the
desire. But those in a third group fail
to get married through mishap or coincidence.
In thinking about the freedom of
permanent bachelors, we ought to distinguish between two sorts of claim.
First, consider a permanent bachelor who decides never to marry. Let this person be a perfectly ordinary,
actual, permanent bachelor with no extraordinary social or psychological
impediments to marriage. We clearly
want to say this person could have gotten married, despite the truth of
counterfactuals like: “if this person had been a permanent bachelor, and had
tried to get married, he would have slipped on a banana peel or . . .”. The actual
freedom to get married is claimed, and his counterfactual
failure (under the description ‘permanent bachelor’) is irrelevant to this
claim. Contrast this with a claim of counterfactual freedom. One might claim also that, had this person been a permanent bachelor and tried to
get married, he would have failed in one of a number of “coincidental ways”,
but would nevertheless have been free.
Here one is claiming the permanent bachelor has counterfactual freedom,
despite counterfactual failure. This
claim of freedom would also be true, I think (though it is worth distinguishing
from the first claim.) As argued above,
cases in which permanent bachelors try and fail to get married include cases of
“coincidental failure” of a kind with cases with which we are familiar. Some people really do slip on banana peels
on their way to the altar. Such slips
involve bad luck, but no failure of freedom.
The appearance to the contrary is due to neglecting the role of
selective attention in the truth of would-counterfactuals of coincidence.
9. Selective attention and time-travel
The final argument against the
possibility of time travel (section 6) was that the numerous mishaps faced by
time travelers attempting autoinfanticide just couldn’t be coincidences. They must in some way be causally linked to
the fact that the would-be assassins are time travelers. But then, those assassins are shackled in an
inexplicable and implausible way.
In light of our remarks on selective
attention, the argument loses its force.
The many mishaps facing the class of permanent bachelors require no
explanation beyond the fact that we
delineated the class with our notion of a permanent bachelor. The class of possible worlds containing time
travelers who repeatedly attempt autoinfanticide is similar. We have placed two constraints on this class
of worlds that are very difficult to jointly satisfy. The first requires the worlds to contain large numbers of persons
who want to kill certain other persons, have the means and the desire to do so,
and so on. The second constraint is
that the first class consists of time travelers and the second class their former
selves. This in effect requires that
these persons fail in their missions.
We thereby selectively attend to a class of worlds that must contain
large numbers of “coincidental failures”.
This need not be explained by some force compelling failure. We have
delineated the class of worlds so that it contains the failures; the failures
can still be genuine coincidences. The
freedom of the time travelers need not be compromised.
It may help here to remember that
logical space contains many worlds with segments that are qualitatively like
cases in which time travelers confront their former selves. In some, the murderer succeeds, and in some
she fails. Whether a given segment is
embedded in a world in which the would-be murderer counts as the later self of
the victim determines the inclusion of the segment in the class of worlds to
which we have selectively confined our attention, in discussion of time travel
and autoinfanticide.
The other argument against the
possibility of time travel (section 5) was that the freedom of time travelers
is undermined by the truth of would-counterfactuals of coincidence. The argument appealed to Vihvelin’s
principle that a person is genuinely free to do a certain thing only if it is
true that if she tried to do the thing, she would or at least might
succeed. This argument, too, is
undermined by the phenomenon of selective attention. The truth of counterfactuals like these:
For all x, if it had been the case that (x is a permanent bachelor who attempts to get married), it would
have been the case that: (x would
have slipped on a banana peel and died, or had a bad case of cold feet, or . .
.)
For any series of persons, x1, x2, . . ., if it had been the case that (x1, x2, . . . are all permanent bachelors that attempt to
get married), then it would have been the case that (each would have slipped on
a banana peel and died, or gotten a bad case of cold feet, or . . .)
was
argued to undermine neither the freedom of actual permanent bachelors, nor the
counterfactual freedom of permanent bachelors in worlds in which they attempt
and fail to get married. Likewise, the
truth of counterfactuals like:
If many, many time travelers
went back in time intending to kill their earlier selves, equipped with deadly
weapons, hardened hearts and excellent information about their targets, there
would be a long string of coincidences: slips on banana peels, sudden attacks
of remorse, mistaken identities and so on.
undermines
neither the freedom of time travelers who do not go back in time to kill their
earlier selves, nor the freedom of those that do. The slips on banana peels and other mishaps are genuine
coincidences; the fact that they would
occur, were attempts at autoinfanticide made, is simply due to our selective
attention in the antecedent of the counterfactual to a certain class of worlds
in which failure has been definitionally guaranteed.
10. Conclusion
So time travel escapes again,
unscathed. If many time travelers
attempted autoinfanticide, an apparently miraculous series of coincidences
would ensue. But this fact is
unremarkable, and in no way undermines time travelers’ freedom. As comparison with uncontroversial cases has
shown, it is the result of the description “time traveler who attempts
autoinfanticide” focusing our attention on a certain class of possible worlds,
a class of worlds that is guaranteed, by definition, to include large numbers
of what we consider highly improbable coincidences.[8]
Theodore
Sider
Syracuse
University
References
Earman, John. 1995.
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[1] Let “killing” be understood throughout as implying permanent death.
[2] Lewis uses the contextual relativity of ‘can’ to explain why the argument that a time traveler cannot kill her earlier self is so seductive.
[3] See Horwich 1987, chapter 7, and 1975.
[4] Compare Smith 1997, section 4.
[5] I thank Europa Malynicz for drawing my attention to this argument.
[6] See Lewis 1973 and Stalnaker 1968.
[7] I put this case to different use in Sider 2000.
[8] I would like to thank David Braun, Earl Conee, Tamar Szabó Gendler, Europa Malynicz and Brian Weatherson for helpful comments.